JCoBee WALK THE DEAL
CORNERSTONE MECHANICAL SERVICES INC.FULL ANALYSIS →
LET'S WALK THIS ONE TOGETHER
An owner-run shop,
on the market.
on the market.
CORNERSTONE MECHANICAL SERVICES INC. · COLUMBUS, OHIO
Commercial and institutional mechanical contractor with a recurring HVAC service division.
$8.20M in revenue, profitable. Looks good on the cover. Scroll, and I'll take you through it the way I would at the table, one piece at a time.
SCROLL TO BEGIN ↓
THE ONE QUESTION
Will it still make money
after the owner leaves?
after the owner leaves?
That is the whole game. Everything we look at is really asking that one thing. Start with the easy part.
FIRST, THE PRICE
What they priced it at.
ASK $6.66M
4.50×
floor
$4.88M
mid
$5.62M
high
$6.66M
Fair value for a shop like this runs $4.88M to $6.66M. The price on the table was $6.66M. So why isn't price the whole story?
BECAUSE THE PRICE IS BLIND
They are asking
full price.
full price.
Full price leaves no room for what can go wrong, so everything that follows has to check out or the price does not hold. It can't see which customer really carries the book, or the jobs in flight, and the cost to complete on the biggest ones. That part we look at ourselves.
RISK ONE · THE CUSTOMERS
They told you it was
smaller than it is.
smaller than it is.
What the CIM says (top 10)61.0%
What the rows actually add up to69.0%
Top three customers are 47% of the book. The CIM says 61. The rows add up to 69. Concentration is worse than they told you. First thing to verify.
OPEN THE CUSTOMER TABLE →
RISK TWO · THE PEOPLE
Who holds
the relationships?
the relationships?
The CIM flags it: knowledge and relationships concentrate in the owner. Before you price the transfer, get names: which employee holds which customer relationship, who prices the work, who the customers call when something breaks, and whether those people stay. This is where the owner's tacit knowledge lives, and no document will hand it to you.
WHAT WE CAUGHT
1 place the CIM and the
real records disagree.
real records disagree.
Top-10 customer concentration
61.0% → 69.0%
Every number the CIM stated, checked against the primary record. Where they split, the record governs. These aren't gotchas, they're your questions for the seller.
SEE THE FULL ANALYSIS →WILL THE BANK DO IT?
It sits
right at the line.
right at the line.
BASE
1.12×
Marginal
REVENUE -10%
1.01×
Marginal
REVENUE -20%
0.90×
Fail
LENDER TEST
1.25×
the line to beat
6 of 12 covenants pass. Coverage is 1.12 times, and it thins to 0.90 at minus twenty percent, under the bank's 1.25 line.
OPEN THE COVENANT DASHBOARD →
THE JOBS IN FLIGHT
Billed ahead of
the work done.
the work done.
NET OVERBILLED
$153K
booked, not yet earned
PHANTOM MARGIN
$188K
margin above cost-to-complete
Across 6 open jobs, billings run $202K ahead of the work actually done, against $49K earned but not yet billed the other way. Net, the business is overbilled by $153K: margin booked but not yet earned. Verify the cost-to-complete on the biggest open jobs before you trust the revenue.
TWO BUSINESSES, ONE NUMBER
A contractor is
two businesses.
two businesses.
The CIM shows one revenue number. But a contractor is two businesses: service agreements that recur, and jobs you have to win. Before the LBO model means anything, demand the split, and the service-agreement list with renewal history. The only breakdown disclosed is a channel mix (General contractors 55%, Building owners direct 45%), not a service-vs-contracting split. You cannot forecast debt service on blended revenue.
THE READ
Read the transfer
before the price.
before the price.
The deal turns on four things the price can't see: lock down the customer concentration, verify the cost-to-complete on the open jobs before you trust the booked margin, demand the service-vs-contracting revenue split before you trust the coverage, and get the owner's knowledge transferred before they go.
That last part, who leaves, what walks with them, and how much of it you can actually receive, is the judgment. The one piece the software hands back to you.
CustomersWILL THE REVENUE STILL BE HERE AFTER YOU BUY IT?
← BACK TO THE WALK
You're buying this company's customer relationships. The real question is which ones stay when the owner walks. Fill in how solid each one is, and the read sharpens as you go.
Will the bank do it?COVENANT DASHBOARD · SMB LENDING FRAMEWORK
← BACK TO THE WALK
6 of 12 covenants pass. Computed live from this deal's financials at the model's default structure, the same read the full analysis shows.
SERVICEABILITY
◆ MARGINAL
DSCR
1.12×
≥ 1.25×
◆ MARGINAL
FCCR
1.12×
≥ 1.20×
▲ PASS
ICR
3.46×
≥ 2.00×
LEVERAGE
▲ PASS
Debt / TNW
2.96×
≤ 3.00×
▲ PASS
Debt / Cap
74.7%
≤ 75%
▼ FAIL
Debt / EBITDA
4.44×
≤ 4.00×
ASSET COVERAGE
▲ PASS
A/R Coverage
16.2%
≥ 15%
○ N/A
Inventory Coverage
n/a
≥ 10%
○ N/A
Fixed Asset Coverage
n/a
≥ 10%
○ N/A
Total ABL
n/a
≥ 50%
LIQUIDITY
▲ PASS
Current Ratio
1.73×
≥ 1.20×
▲ PASS
NWC
$800K
≥ $0
BANKABILITY STRESS · DSCR BY SCENARIO · LENDER LINE 1.25×
BASE
1.12×
EBITDA $1.20M
REVENUE -10%
1.01×
EBITDA $1.08M · rev $-820K
REVENUE -20%
0.90×
EBITDA $960K · rev $-1.64M
LENDER TEST
1.25×
the line to beat